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Environment › Climate science

Cryosphere, oceans and sea level

Ice, oceans and the rising sea: glaciers and glacial lakes, permafrost, polar ice, ocean heat and acidity, and sea level. Prelims has asked which rivers rise from which Himalayan glaciers, and about the source and course of the Teesta.

1 Sep 2026 · Prelims and Mains

Himalayan glacier retreat

Warming does not only take ice off the mountain; it takes away what was holding the mountain together.

89%Monitored years with a negative glacier mass balance, over five decades

DoubledRate of ice loss after 2000

7 to 38Glacial lake outburst floods per decade in the region, up since 1950

From Frontline, 7 September 2026, citing the report of 19 March 2026 by the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD) and a review of recorded glacial lake outburst floods
  • Meltwater widens crevasses and, at the glacier bed, can destabilise large blocks of ice.
  • A retreating glacier strips the snow that cushioned the rock walls above it, leaving rock and ice perched on bare slopes.
  • Thawing permafrost removes the ice that cements rock and sediment together.

UPSC has asked

  • Prelims 2019: matching Himalayan glaciers to their rivers

Frontline, 7 Sep 2026: A warning in the waters (opens in a new tab)

1 Sep 2026 · Prelims and Mains

The Nepal flood of August 2026

On 26 August glacier ice and bedrock broke away on Langtang Lirung near the Nepal Tibet border, and what followed was a cascading hazard rather than a single flood.

  1. Collapse

    Glacier ice and bedrock break away on Langtang Lirung.

  2. Temporary dam

    Debris blocks the Lhende Khola in Tibet, then fails within minutes.

  3. Bhote Koshi

    The surge sweeps back into Nepal, gathering sediment.

  4. Trishuli

    The Trishuli rises by up to 9 metres in under 30 minutes.

  5. Into India

    The flow joins the Narayani system and enters India as the Gandak.

From the Indian Express interview with Austin Lord, 31 August 2026, and Frontline, 1 and 7 September 2026
  • A glacial lake outburst flood begins when a lake's natural dam fails; this one began instead with a slope failure of ice and rock, which is why it is not called one.
  • A debris flow erodes riverbanks and gains mass and momentum as it travels, which is why experts called this one a sediment bomb.
  • The flow ran nearly 100 km, and Nepal counted about 1,340 dead by 7 September.
  • About a tenth of Nepal's hydropower capacity, 431 MW, was hit by the single event.

The Indian Express, 31 Aug 2026: 'Needles in haystacks': An expert explains the challenge of early warnings in the Himalayas (opens in a new tab)

1 Sep 2026 · Prelims and Mains

South Lhonak and moraine dammed lakes

Many glacial lakes are held not by bedrock but by moraine, the loose rock and sediment a glacier leaves behind, and moraine can be made to give way.

  1. Creeping slope

    Parts of a frozen lateral moraine creep for years.

  2. Collapse

    Frozen moraine falls into the lake.

  3. Wave

    A wave overtops and breaches the frontal moraine.

  4. Outburst

    Lake water is released.

  5. Erosion

    The flood scours sediment down the Teesta valley.

South Lhonak, Sikkim, 2023. From Frontline, 1 September 2026, citing Sattar and others in Science, 2025
  • The South Lhonak flood of 2023 destroyed the Teesta-III dam, though a modelling study in 2019 had flagged the valley as at serious risk.

UPSC has asked

  • Prelims 2017: the source and course of the Teesta

1 Sep 2026 · Prelims and Mains

The Glacial Lake Atlas

Most of the lakes that threaten Indian valleys are not in India, which makes a warning system a question of what neighbours are willing to share.

  • Ladakh3,219

  • Arunachal Pradesh2,188

  • Sikkim733

  • Jammu and Kashmir546

  • Himachal Pradesh537

  • Uttarakhand347

Mapped glacial lakes inside India, of at least 0.25 hectares. From Frontline, 1 September 2026, citing the NRSC Glacial Lake Atlas
  • The Glacial Lake Atlas of the National Remote Sensing Centre (NRSC) maps 28,043 lakes in the Himalayan river basins, almost 73 per cent of them outside India.
  • The NRSC works under the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), and the Defence Geoinformatics Research Establishment under the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO).
  • Data sharing with China and Nepal is therefore part of the warning system rather than a courtesy.

3 Sep 2026 · Prelims and Mains

Ranking glacial lake risk

A list of dangerous lakes is only useful once it is ordered by who lives below them.

Glacial lake risk
  • Monitoring

    • Central Water Commission tracks water bodies monthly in the monsoon
  • Ranking

    • Central Water Commission 12 criteria index
    • National Disaster Management Authority list of 195 high risk lakes
  • Mitigation

    • National Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Risk Mitigation Programme, ₹150 crore, four States
  • Dam safety

    • Central Electricity Authority: 47 dams that an outburst flood could affect
From Frontline, 1 September 2026, and the Press Information Bureau (PIB) release of 3 September 2026
  • The Central Water Commission, the Centre's technical authority on water resources, gives 30 of 100 marks in its risk index to downstream exposure, since risk lies where hazard meets exposure.
  • The Union Home Secretary reviewed Himalayan States' and Union Territories' preparedness for outburst floods and snow avalanches, asking for continuous monitoring and risk informed planning rather than lists alone.
  • Early warning systems are to be extended from 30 lakes to at least 60.

PIB, 3 Sep 2026: Union Home Secretary Reviews Preparedness of Himalayan States/UT for GLOF and Snow Avalanches (opens in a new tab) · The Hindu, 4 Sep 2026

1 Sep 2026 · Prelims and Mains

Early warning in the Himalaya

Satellites can watch a lake grow, but watching is not preparedness, and the August flood showed exactly where the gap opens.

  • Nepal's warning system issues alerts when it detects rain, and the August flood did not begin with rain.
  • The flow's seismic signal was first read as an earthquake, so environmental seismology is proposed as an added layer of warning.
  • In worst case models a flood set off by an avalanche in Tibet reaches the Nepal border in about 30 minutes, so warning has to be matched by land use zoning and local capacity.
  • Evacuation on the first signs of slope instability held deaths in the 2025 Blatten avalanche in Switzerland to one, against over 200 in the 2021 Chamoli ice and rock avalanche.

Frontline, 1 Sep 2026: India can see the danger in the Himalaya. Can it manage the risk? (opens in a new tab)

Also filed elsewhere

  • Hydropower in the Himalaya · on Wind, hydro and other renewables

    The mountains hold most of the fall a turbine wants and most of the hazard a project cannot survive.