Economy › External sector
हिन्दी — Read in HindiBalance of payments, the rupee and reserves
India's accounts with the world: trade, capital flows, the rupee and the reserves.
Showing 2 of 3 articles, those that changed from 1 to 30 September 2026.Show all
Trade and the current account
Copy link to Trade and the current accountPrelims
The goods trade deficit is the gap between merchandise imports and exports, and the current account adds trade in services, remittances and investment income.
- The Commerce Ministry releases merchandise and estimated services trade data around the middle of each month.
- The Reserve Bank of India publishes the balance of payments, including the current account, and India's external debt every quarter.
- India usually runs a deficit on goods, partly offset by a surplus on services and by remittances, so the current account deficit has generally stayed between 1 and 2 per cent of GDP.
What changed
15 Sep 2026Briefnewly addedThe goods trade deficit for August 2026 narrowed to 26.86 billion dollars, as exports rose sharply. The current account deficit for April to June 2026 was 4.2 billion dollars, 0.5 per cent of GDP. The Hindu, 15 Sep 2026: India's 26% goods exports surge lowers August 2026 trade deficit (opens in a new tab) · Reserve Bank of India, 1 Sep 2026: Developments in India's balance of payments during April to June 2026 (opens in a new tab)
Show history (3 other updates)
13 Aug 2026Briefnewly addedThe goods trade deficit for July 2026 was 31.98 billion dollars, a six month high, though exports grew nearly 20 per cent. The Hindu, 13 Aug 2026: Goods exports surged 20% in July 2026 on West Asia recovery and further diversification (opens in a new tab)
13 Jul 2026Briefnewly addedThe goods trade deficit for June 2026 widened to 30.4 billion dollars, as imports rose on costlier crude oil, gold and electronics. The Hindu, 13 Jul 2026: Trade deficit jumps 430% in June 2026 (opens in a new tab)
30 Jun 2026Briefnewly addedThe goods trade deficit for May 2026 was 28.21 billion dollars, as imports outran record exports. The current account showed a surplus of 7.1 billion dollars in January to March 2026, as services and remittances covered the goods deficit. For 2025-26 as a whole the current account deficit was 0.6 per cent of GDP. External debt stood at 762.8 billion dollars at the end of March 2026. Reserve Bank of India, 8 Jun 2026: Balance of payments for January to March 2026 (opens in a new tab) · The Hindu, 15 Jun 2026: Goods exports hit record high of $45.2 billion in May 2026 (opens in a new tab) · The Indian Express, 30 Jun 2026
The swap window, reserves and liquidity
Copy link to The swap window, reserves and liquidityPrelims and Mains
LeadReserves bought, not earned: the swap window and the liquidity glutSeptember 2026
Why in news
India's foreign exchange reserves rose by a record amount in the first week of September 2026 to about 786 billion dollars, the fourth largest in the world. Most of the rise came from deposits raised under the Reserve Bank's swap window, which closed for deposits on 31 August.
Background
- In June the Reserve Bank opened a window under which banks could swap dollars raised from non residents for rupees, at a subsidised cost (see the June lead).
- By 31 August about 136 billion dollars had come in, almost all of it as Foreign Currency Non Resident (FCNR) deposits with banks, known as FCNR(B) deposits. In 2013 a similar window brought 34 billion.
- The rupee steadied, and reserves reached a record.
Why these reserves are borrowed
- Reserves built from a surplus on the current account are earned. Direct investment brings no fixed date of repayment.
- Reserves that come through a swap carry a promise: the Reserve Bank must return the dollars when the swap matures.
- So the headline figure rises, and the Reserve Bank's forward liabilities rise with it.
- The swap covers the principal only. Banks must find dollars for the interest, and many have not hedged that.
The rupee side: too much money
- For every dollar it takes in, the Reserve Bank releases rupees.
- The surplus in the banking system reached about ₹10 lakh crore, the highest in four years.
- These deposits are exempt from the cash reserve ratio, which adds to the effect.
- Surplus money pushes short term rates below the repo rate, at a time when inflation is above 4 per cent. Policy says one thing and the market another.
How a central bank mops up money
- Reverse repo auctions: taking money from banks for a short period. The Reserve Bank has been doing this.
- Open market sales of government bonds.
- A higher cash reserve ratio.
- Market stabilisation bonds, issued by the government only to absorb money.
- Each has a cost: interest paid to banks, or a higher cost of credit.
The impossible trinity
- A country cannot have all three: a stable exchange rate, free movement of capital and an independent monetary policy.
- India chose in 2026 to steady the rupee and welcome capital. The price is paid in control over money at home.
The way forward
- Sterilise the surplus step by step, without choking credit.
- Replace swap dollars with lasting inflows before the deposits mature in three to five years.
- Make banks hedge their interest exposure.
- Stagger the maturities, so that repayments do not bunch.
Prelims facts
- Reserves have four parts: foreign currency assets, gold, Special Drawing Rights and the reserve tranche position.
- India's reserves rank fourth, after China, Japan and Switzerland.
- A reverse repo absorbs money; a repo injects it.
- FCNR(B) deposits are exempt from the cash reserve ratio and the statutory liquidity ratio under this window.
- The Market Stabilisation Scheme dates from 2004.
In June the Reserve Bank opened a window under which banks could swap dollars raised from non residents for rupees, at a subsidised cost (see the June lead).
What changed
See also: Defending the rupee
Also filed elsewhere
- American tariffs and India's exports · on Trade policy, tariffs and trade agreements
The United States is India's largest market for goods.